Upshot: Making sense of our new polls

September 19, 2024

Kenny Holston/The New York Times

Harris Ahead in Pennsylvania and Tied Nationally? Unpacking an Unexpected Result.

Although it could simply reflect the normal variation of polling results, it may also point to a declining Trump edge in the Electoral College.

By Nate Cohn

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WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS FROM UPSHOT AND FRIENDS

Karl Russell

Cheaper Mortgages and Car Loans: Lower Rates Are on the Horizon

With the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates, some borrowing costs have begun to ease — signs that loans may become cheaper in the near future.

By Karl Russell

The New York Times

Where Voters Will Decide on Abortion in November

Ten states could expand abortion rights via ballot measures. Nebraska will also vote on proposed restrictions.

By Allison McCann and Amy Schoenfeld Walker

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump

Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.

A stacked bar chart of Taylor Swift’s favorability ratings among likely voters

The New York Times

Who Do Voters Really Like? Taylor Swift.

The pop star Taylor Swift has endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris — and is far more popular among Democrats and independents than Republicans.

By Rebecca Davis O’Brien and Christine Zhang

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